Surprise Emissary Pushing Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal Reveals Vance Influence on US Policy
The US Secretary of the Army, Dan Driscoll, emerged as an surprising envoy for the White House's newest proposal to resolve the Russian invasion in Ukraine. Driscoll's close connection with JD Vance has positioned a key ally of the Eurosceptic vice-president at the center of President Trump's recent effort to settle the conflict.
Prior to his last week's visit to Kyiv, Driscoll was unrecognized as a negotiator or diplomat, and his initial efforts to promote the agreement to officials in Europe were described as turbulent.
Driscoll's close ties with Vance, with whom he studied and maintains a personal bond, indicate the rising influence of the non-interventionist VP in talks to resolve the Ukraine war.
Vance's Role in Peace Efforts
This was Vance who intervened during Ukraine's president's disastrous first visit to the White House in March and insisted he show Trump more courtesy. Now, Ukraine is once again pushing back against pressure from the US to accept a quick settlement that Ukrainian leaders have called a capitulation.
After a tumultuous initial year in office, international actions in the White House are reportedly influenced by a handful of Trump's key advisers, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, rightwing adviser Stephen Miller, diplomat Steve Witkoff, secretary of state Marco Rubio, and finally Vance.
Vance has been a vocal advocate of the latest plan, which was crafted by Witkoff and Trump's relative Jared Kushner, alongside the Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev.
“Every objection of the peace framework the administration is working on either misinterprets the framework or misrepresents some critical situation on the ground,” Vance wrote.
Initial Efforts and EU Reactions
Vance's initial attempts at hammering out a ceasefire agreement with Russia, while also seeking to restore relations with Moscow, were fruitless and left his team feeling disappointed with their Russian counterparts. European officials, in turn, were angered by his initial speeches, in which he charged them of ignoring their constituents, who Vance claimed held anti-immigration and right-leaning views close to those of Trump's own supporters.
But, the new peace deal closely resembled his stances, and he has been one of the most forceful advocates for the deal in the administration, even as the US has been criticized for accepting a peace framework that mostly resembles Vladimir Putin's extreme demands.
In posts this past weekend, Vance asserted that a ceasefire agreement would have to establish a ceasefire that respected Ukrainian independence, be agreeable to both sides, and stop the conflict from resuming.
“A ceasefire will not be made by failed diplomats or officials living in a fantasy land,” he added. “It could be made by smart people living in the real world.”
Additionally, it was Vance who continued on the presentation of the ceasefire proposal in a phone call with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had mainly tasked his team with obtaining a signature on the ceasefire accord before Thanksgiving this week in the United States.
The Secretary of State's Response and Internal Concerns
That was a distinctly more full-throated endorsement of the proposal than that expressed by the top diplomat and national security adviser, Marco Rubio, a more traditional hardliner in the administration who has transitioned from a uncertain position inside the administration to more stable standing.
Rubio was part of a US team that went to Geneva this weekend to confer with Ukrainian leaders to help refine the initial 28-point ceasefire proposal in order to make it more acceptable to leaders in Kyiv.
However, his first response to the deal was lukewarm:
“Ending a complex and violent war such as the one in Ukraine requires an extensive discussion of serious and realistic ideas,” Rubio stated recently. “And, achieving a lasting peace will require each party to agree to difficult but necessary compromises. That is why we are and will persist to develop a set of potential ideas for ending this conflict drawing from feedback from each party of this war.”
Behind closed doors, he was reportedly much more skeptical of the plan. The GOP lawmaker Mike Rounds stated last week at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had called lawmakers to explain that the agreement was merely a initial proposal from the Russians and not an plan advocated by the administration.
“Rubio did make a phone call to us this afternoon and I think he emphasized to us that we are the recipients of a proposal that was delivered to one of our officials,” stated Rounds. “It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan.”
Rubio acted swiftly to fall in line. “The peace proposal was authored by the US,” he subsequently wrote. “It is offered as a solid framework for continuing discussions. It is derived from feedback from the Russian side. However, it is also informed by earlier and ongoing input from Ukraine.”